Bitcoin Recovered Everything — Now Warsh Can Take It Away. My Trade Into the Fed.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting down to leaning down; weeks moved sideways to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): Again, Bitcoin, you know, short term more more than likely a pullback. I think real direction gets revealed tomorrow upon tomorrow's event. ▶ 11:31 The call was right: 65.9k when said, 62.5k on 23 Jun 2026 (−5.1%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: if and when we see it come back down to this regression, which will take at least another two periods, so so basically until the end of this month, I'd be a little bit more defensive on price action. ▶ 08:49 Said again while their call of 29 May 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 73.8k when said, 59.9k on 28 Jun 2026 (−18.9%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): That would be about picture perfect for what I'm looking out for right now to continue on with the with the possibility of this creating a macro low here. ▶ 09:17 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin reclaims the revenue ribbons mid-band (about 67,200) on a daily close on CME, then 70–71k (next days): If Bitcoin is able to reclaim the the mid-band again, 67,000. It's actually about 67,200 on a daily closing basis on CME, then I would be looking for a sizable move to the upside somewhere around about 70 to 71,000 bucks. ▶ 01:48

Levels named

• 79.2k: Resistance (Weekly stochastic momentum stays down while closes are below this level): we will be continuing to see downside momentum as long as Bitcoin's closing below 79,150. ▶ 08:15
• 70k: Resistance (Strike of the short call position; he bets Bitcoin stays below it by end of month): If Bitcoin goes above 70,000 bucks, I will start to give up some of that profit, but as long as Bitcoin's below 70,000 bucks, I will pull in the maximum ▶ 04:01
• 68k: Target (Green 55 EMA is the target of the 5/21 EMA cross corrective setup): that is about 67 or sorry, 68,000 bucks in change as of right now. It will be coming down with each and every passing close. ▶ 06:38
• 67.2k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (Revenue ribbons mid-band on CME; first retest since mid-May usually gets a pullback): important region of the revenue ribbons mid-band right here which is 67,150 on CME. ▶ 01:25
• 63–64k: Target (Hidden bearish daily RSI divergence should pull price back down): but you know, 63, 64 I think would be a good bet. ▶ 07:23
• 63.2k: Support (Bottom of the expected range below the mid-band): again 67,200 and the gray dotted areas right here, which is about 63,200. ▶ 02:16

Their own position: Short. I actually did go ahead and short those 20 times.

Dates named

• FOMC meeting (Warsh's first as Fed chair) on 17 Jun 2026: it is an FOC FOMC event. So, generally we're going to get some uh volatile price action around there.