🚨Fed Day: Warsh Is Hiding His Own Dot. Here's What Actually Decides Bitcoin Today.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved down to sideways.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways (timeframe is our reading): to the upside, I expect a run towards, you know, probably like 70 honestly. Uh to the downside, I expect a run towards, yeah, about 63 to 635. ▶ 2:47:14 The call was wrong: 65.8k when said, 60.3k on 24 Jun 2026 (−8.4%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): which is also helped maintain our bearish bias in the short and medium term on this channel. ▶ 21:59 Said again while their call of 29 May 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 73.8k when said, 59.9k on 28 Jun 2026 (−18.9%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): we're starting to get more and more supporting evidence that that is not just a possibility, but it's becoming, you know, slightly more likely um as as things go on. ▶ 22:41 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If BTC closes above the Reverend Ribbons midband at 66,800 today, then no target given (next days, by today): coming in 66800 now. Yesterday it was slightly higher. Um but if Bitcoin can remain or not remain but actually close above there today, I would be looking for a decent move to the upside ▶ 19:26
• If BTC reclaims the May highs of 82-83k, confirming the lows are in, then no target given (this cycle): the move that really matters here for Bitcoin is this. The second that Bitcoin reclaims the May highs of 82 or 83,000 bucks ▶ 23:06
• If Weekly BBWP prints a downtick as volatility contracts, then no target given (next weeks): The second that we start to see a downwards tick. I will be looking for a much greater rally on Bitcoin as volatility once again goes into a contraction phase. ▶ 24:01
• If BTC breaks the low side of the short-term range, then no target given (next days): if Bitcoin breaks the low side of the range. You know, we got a nice little downside move here back down to probably 635 or so. ▶ 2:47:03

Levels named

• 82–83k: Resistance (reclaiming the May highs would confirm the lows are in): the move that really matters here for Bitcoin is this. The second that Bitcoin reclaims the May highs of 82 or 83,000 bucks ▶ 23:06
• 70.5k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (first pass likely sold): I, you know, it probably does sell off on the first pass of 70,500 or so. ▶ 19:48
• 70k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (first pass likely rejected, then a higher low): I do think 70,000 would also be rejected on the first pass ▶ 22:16
• 70k: Target (Other): to the upside, I expect a run towards, you know, probably like 70 honestly. ▶ 2:47:14
• 66.8k: Resistance (Reverend Ribbons midband; a close above it is needed for upside): coming in 66800 now. Yesterday it was slightly higher. Um but if Bitcoin can remain or not remain but actually close above there today, I would be looking for a decent move to the upside ▶ 19:26

Their own position: Short. like I said I'm still short um end of month um so I was expecting to honestly have to cover during that

Dates named

• FOMC decision and Warsh press conference on 17 Jun 2026: because we got some FOMC action going on right now.