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This Is What Bitcoin Capitulation Looks Like

Lark Davis · · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $64,3024-hour candle close · 17 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle flipped down to up.

Views

  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Everything says that this should be very close to a bottom or close enough that it doesn't make any real difference for anybody with multi-year time frame. ▶ 11:41 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

Levels named

  • 200k: Target (possible long-term upside after the bottom): Maybe you buy it at 60K, it never goes to 40K and you can still cash out at 200K at some point in the future. ▶ 12:32
  • 60k: Support (a bottom at 60K in June could still satisfy the four-year cycle theory): if we were bottoming at 60K in June, to be honest, that would satisfy the four-year cycle theory ▶ 12:13
  • 40k: Support (four-year cycle theory calls for a $40,000 bottom in October, which the host says is possible): Maybe you buy here, you watch it go to 40,000, feel exactly like the people who are laughing at Sailor right now feel. ▶ 12:24

Their own position: Holding. I'm just one dude with some Bitcoin in the market, right?