cryptoUh Oh! Michael Saylor Is About to Crash Bitcoin? (i'm sorry)
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BTC near publication: $62,9514-hour candle close · 18 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
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Changed since their last video: cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.
Views
- This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
cuz Bitcoin has always consolidated around here for literally four out of four 100% bear markets. This has marked the consolidation zone where we eventually, you know, consolidated then grinded back up.
▶ 11:42 Said again while their call of 4 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122k when said, 85.4k on 4 Oct 2026 (−30.0%).
If this, then that
- If Bitcoin closes below the 200-week moving average, then no target given (next weeks):
Maybe we were closing below it. Then I would say, "Okay, we're going to see a very similar thing that we saw when FTX collapsed, which would maybe be a 20% drawdown from that 200 week moving average."
▶ 12:07
Their own position: Not said.
Dates named
- Warsh's first Federal Reserve meeting / data measurement changes, undated:
He's telling us he's going to change the the way they measure data, which this, combined with the straight opening, to me, that's tailwinds.
- Strait of Hormuz reopening, undated:
This is now insanely bullish for global markets.