A HUGE BITCOIN DANGER SIGNAL IS FLASHING...

On Bitcoin

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• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): So I am personally expecting Bitcoin is still most likely going to come down to about $47 to $48,000 as worst-case scenario and to $55,000 as my base case ▶ 04:19 Said again while their call of 11 Jun 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 62.7k when said, 64.2k on 11 Jul 2026 (+2.3%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.

If this, then that

• If STRC remains de-backed for a longer period of time, then no target given (next weeks): And if STRC remains to be de-backed for a longer period of time here, we could be expecting Bitcoin is going to drop lower here ▶ 03:39

Levels named

• 60k: Target (liquidity heat map shows liquidity built up around $60,000): I'm seeing there's a lot of liquidity being built up around that $60,000 region. So, I think Bitcoin is ultimately going to grab this liquidity on the lower side. ▶ 08:30
• 55k: Target (major support from the previous region; base case): So I am personally expecting Bitcoin is still most likely going to come down to about $47 to $48,000 as worst-case scenario and to $55,000 as my base case ▶ 04:19
• 47–48k: Target (most of the liquidity in this zone is laying here; worst-case scenario): So I am personally expecting Bitcoin is still most likely going to come down to about $47 to $48,000 as worst-case scenario and to $55,000 as my base case ▶ 04:19

Their own position: Holding, with leverage. So that is of course also exactly where I am betting with my leverage long position over here.

Dates named

• Next inflation data in about 3 weeks, undated: In approximately 3 weeks from now on, we will be getting the next inflation data, and this is for sure going to be critical