Bitcoin Could Make Its Biggest Move in Months!

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months moved sideways to down.

Views

• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): but unfortunately for me the balance of probability says that the the next move is is is is down. ▶ 24:58

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin goes below the 200-week moving average, repeating 2021 and dropping about 30%, then 45k (next months): okay. So that that takes us to about 45,000. I want you to keep that number in your head, that 45,000 number in your head. ▶ 02:47
• If Bitcoin breaks above the bull market support band, then no target given (this cycle): If we break above that, we could actually invalidate um the four-year cycle and we could actually be out of the bull market, out of the bare market. ▶ 03:07

Levels named

• 53k: Target (realized price, the average price holders paid; Bitcoin normally goes under it in bear markets): Now for for for for us to go under the realized price now that number is at $53,000. ▶ 21:43
• 48k: Target (long-term holders realized price, always touched in bear markets): Right now that realized P&L price is what is that price? 32,600. No. No. 48,000. It's it's it's at 48,000. ▶ 23:34
• 45k: Target (about 30% drop if the 2021 bear market scenario repeats): okay. So that that takes us to about 45,000. I want you to keep that number in your head, that 45,000 number in your head. ▶ 02:47
• 31.9k: Target (terminal price, touched in every bear market): Is it 31,900? Can it Can it be that low? I really hope it isn't, but it looks like it is about 31,900. ▶ 22:49

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Clarity Act must pass by July 17 on 17 Jul 2026: The truth is if this doesn't pass by the 17th of July then it's not passing because the democrats are going to win the house
• Halving cycle: bear market bottom about 850 days after the halving, undated: The hing cycle says that the end of the bare market usually happens about 850 days after the hinging.