Bitcoin: Bottom Indicators to Watch

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months flipped up to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: Okay, early July could still be sometimes weak. ▶ 13:22 Said again while their call of 24 Jun 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 62.9k when said, 58.6k on 1 Jul 2026 (−6.8%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: But in terms of time, a lot of times Bitcoin will get that bounce sometime in like mid to late July is is where you'll often find Bitcoin getting that relief. ▶ 13:05 Said again while their call of 5 Jun 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 60.4k when said, 62.7k on 5 Jul 2026 (+3.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: the general path is a low to form in the early part of the summer, a bounce at some point kind of into the late summer, and then the final drop into Q4 to mark the market cycle bottom. ▶ 15:51 Said again while their call of 18 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 73.9k when said, 64.8k on 16 Jul 2026 (−12.4%).

If this, then that

• If price falls much lower than the low 50s / high 40s before the counter-trend rally starts, then no target given (next months): If it goes too much below that, then the next rally could be the actual real one. ▶ 06:02

Levels named

• 53k: Support (Bitcoin historically bottoms below the realized price in every bear market): And notice that the realized price is down at around 53K. So it seems likely that at some point Bitcoin would go below the realized price ▶ 09:40
• 38k: Support (balanced price; a drop there would mark price-based capitulation): It's currently at around 38K. I don't know if we're going to go there. Get off my back. ▶ 11:02

Their own position: Not said.