Microstrategy & $STRC Capitulation Could Drop Bitcoin To…

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped down to up; weeks flipped up to down; cycle flipped down to up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): pretty much just going to go long right here for that potential bounce trade. ▶ 26:50
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: I would prefer the band-aid to be completely ripped off and have a price base capitulation within the next couple of weeks. ▶ 18:53
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): So the next leg down could lead to a major bottom, right? It's just about how quick it comes. ▶ 11:58

If this, then that

• If strong acceleration down this month followed by another month of strong acceleration down, then 28–38k (next months): before you know it, you could find yourself trading between 28 and $38,000. ▶ 13:16

Levels named

• 63–69k: Target (take profit into stacked short liquidity zones): And these are the yellow lines that are written in the margin. 63, 66, and 69. ▶ 27:59
• 60k: Support (bulls are trying to defend the key level): where they're trying to defend that 60k level. ▶ 02:09
• 45k: Target (1.618 fib extension and trend-based fib line up at the same level): It takes it to about $45,000. That is based on a uh 1.618 fib extension as well as a trendbased fib that lines up at exactly the same level. ▶ 14:23
• 28–38k: Target (historical cycle bottoms between the 786 and 886 fib): before you know it, you could find yourself trading between 28 and $38,000. ▶ 13:16

Their own position: Bought, with leverage. pretty much just going to go long right here for that potential bounce trade.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: weeks went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I do believe after a bit of maybe relief or a little bit of a dead cut bounce, it can come lower into like this 1385 region ▶ 28:54

If this, then that

• If things get really ugly and BTC drops to those lower levels, then 883 (next months): I think if things get really ugly and BTC drops to those lower levels, there's a real possibility that ETH swaps 883. ▶ 29:04

Levels named

• 1.39k: Target (sweep of the level): it can come lower into like this 1385 region for a sweep of that. ▶ 28:58

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Bitcoin options expiry (~$10-13B) on 26 Jun 2026: most of those happen today on a Friday. I believe that for Bitcoin, it's around 10 to 13 billion.
• EU MiCA compliance deadline on 1 Jul 2026: remember this is meant to kick into gear from the 1st of July.