Crypto Holders … It’s Happening

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; weeks moved waiting to down; months flipped up to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: We've only got another uh day to go before that weekly candle closes. Might be a pretty weak weekly candle close. ▶ 04:39 The call was right: 64.1k when said, 63.1k on 1 Aug 2026 (−1.5%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): If so, we've broken out of that wedge with a confirmed breakdown and we are heading to a downside around either 60K or maybe in the upper 50s. ▶ 03:56 The call was wrong: 64.1k when said, 78.4k on 24 Aug 2026 (+22.4%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: But 40k October four-year cycle, it remains the meme and perhaps we fulfill the meme. ▶ 05:20 The call was open until 22 Nov 2026, against 64.1k when said.

If this, then that

• If If it can bounce from here, then 67k (next days): If it can bounce from here, then at least trade back up to the top of the channel around 67K might be interesting. ▶ 03:36

Levels named

• 68.5k: Resistance (200 week EMA, the bull bear line): Didn't even get up to the 200 week EMA, which is at 68,500. ▶ 04:46
• 67k: Resistance (top of the daily channel): If it can bounce from here, then at least trade back up to the top of the channel around 67K might be interesting. ▶ 03:36
• 63k: Support (break below the channel would validate the breakdown): Pretty easy validation point to 63K, which would be break down to lower side under the channel here. ▶ 03:42
• 60k: Target (rising wedge breakdown target): If so, we've broken out of that wedge with a confirmed breakdown and we are heading to a downside around either 60K or maybe in the upper 50s. ▶ 03:56
• 40k: Target (four-year cycle bottom in October): But 40k October four-year cycle, it remains the meme and perhaps we fulfill the meme. ▶ 05:20

Their own position: No position. Not trading BTC either way right now, but I do have long positions open on other coins.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): That would generally indicate more downside to come in the short term here for Ethereum potentially meaning that our double bottom breakout has failed. ▶ 12:50 The call was a draw: 1.86k when said, 1.87k on 1 Aug 2026 (+0.5%), under the 1.5% it takes to count.

If this, then that

• If If we bounce from the 20 and 50 day EMAs over the next couple days, then 2.1k (next weeks): If we bounce from the 20 and 50 day here over the next couple days, fine. We can still see that $2,100 target, $2,100 target hit. ▶ 13:11
• If If we get back down to $1,800, then no target given (next weeks): If we get back down to $1,800, then probably invalidates the double bottom pattern here. ▶ 13:18
• If A break above the downtrend line since September 25, then no target given (next months): A break above that line will probably be a major trend shift for Ethereum. Not there yet guys. ▶ 11:55

Levels named

• 2.1k: Target (double bottom breakout target): My target was $2,100. We didn't quite make it there. ▶ 13:06
• 1.81k: Their view is wrong past this (stop loss on the trade, around break even): Keeping the stop loss at 1810, which is basically break even for this one. ▶ 05:52
• 1.8k: Their view is wrong past this (would invalidate the double bottom): If we get back down to $1,800, then probably invalidates the double bottom pattern here. ▶ 13:18

Their own position: Holding. ETH giving back some of the unrealized gains here. Keeping the stop loss at 1810, which is basically break even for this one.

Dates named

• Clarity Act full Senate vote before August recess, undated: CNBC has just confirmed that Senator Thinn will bring the Clarity Act to a full Senate vote before the August recess.