Bitcoin Holders: This Is Our Final Warning

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped down to up; months went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): what I think is probably going to happen first of all in the near future is that Bitcoin is going to find a new local top here ▶ 03:07 The call was wrong: 64.6k when said, 63.5k on 2 Aug 2026 (−1.7%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): But I think the highest probability for Bitcoin is that we are going to drop a little bit lower. ▶ 03:55 Said again while their call of 18 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 64k when said, 63.4k on 17 Aug 2026 (−0.9%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: And if we were to go off of this exact data point, it would mean that Bitcoin is going to be bottoming in Q4 2026. ▶ 01:20 Said again while their call of 4 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 62.6k when said, 77.8k on 1 Nov 2026 (+24.2%).

If this, then that

• If Clarity Act goes through, then no target given (this cycle): if the Clarity Act goes through here, I think that maybe of course on the short term, we're not directly going to see a very big uh reaction on the chart here, but ultimately this will be marking the bottom. ▶ 16:45
• If lower side liquidity gets swept, bringing price toward the first realized price level, then the long-term holder realized price and maybe the balance price, then no target given (next weeks): in the scenario that indeed that lower side liquidity is going to be crept. We will be getting closer to that first realized price level after that the long-term holder realized price level and maybe even the balance price. ▶ 07:57

Levels named

• 52k: Target (long-term holder realized price): this level is still laying below us at about the 52k level. ▶ 04:04
• 38–52k: Target (long-term holder capitulation zone down to the balanced price): I would say that it starts at 52K and lasts all the way to 38K because that is where the balanced price is as of this moment. ▶ 05:03
• 50k: Target (liquidity built up below on the liquidation heat map): we're seeing that the bunch of liquidity is still being built up all the way down to about $50,000. ▶ 07:31
• 47k: Target (CFD price historically marks bear market bottoms): is that CFD price, which is sitting at $47,000, which is historically like the level where Bitcoin tends to be bottoming every single bare market. ▶ 05:50

Their own position: Bought, with leverage. that is why I also am building up a major leverage long position on Bitcoin

Dates named

• Clarity Act, undated: The only reason that my orders on $47,000 in my opinion will not be filled is due to the Clarity Act on Bitcoin.