Bitcoin: Everyone's Panicking. Here's What Matters

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

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• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects up: but within the next 5 days I expect Bitcoin to return to somewhere around $86,000. ▶ 13:29 The call was wrong: 84.5k when said, 83.6k on 30 Sep 2026 (−1.1%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: which will continue in early October to make a new high on this rally, maybe reach somewhere around 90-90, which is $4,000, and then fall back down. ▶ 05:02 Said again while their call of 18 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 81.2k when said, 80.9k on 18 Oct 2026 (−0.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: they also suggest that the fourth quarter, you know, will be decent ▶ 13:08 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin holds its ground, effectively closing above $83,000, then no target given (next months): A strong bullish engulfing dong is potentially expected for the quarter if Bitcoin can just hold its ground, effectively closing above $83,000. ▶ 01:38

Levels named

• 100k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (speaker's hunch that $100k is too optimistic before the next major pullback): I don't think Bitcoin will go above $100,000 until the next major pullback. ▶ 09:26
• 89k: Resistance (top of the ping-pong range): finding its lows at these red dots and its highs somewhere around here, which is still around $89,000. ▶ 13:55
• 86k: Target (statistics on returns after the daily 5-EMA reconnection): but within the next 5 days I expect Bitcoin to return to somewhere around $86,000. ▶ 13:29
• 84k: Support (midpoint of the band, just below $84,000): if the coin just doesn't close this week below the middle, you know, the midpoints of the band right here, which is just below $84,000. ▶ 14:10
• 82.8k: Support (last big macro swing; uptrend stays intact above it): Bitcoin more or less stays above that last big macro swing, which was 82,800, I think the general direction is up ▶ 05:56

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. I forgot to do my daily DCA. Put my money where my mouth is with the old dirt base right here.