BITCOIN: TODAY CHANGES EVERYTHING...

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; cycle moved waiting to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): in my opinion, it is more likely that we're going to be moving towards the downside than upside because it would basically confirm that we are going to get an interest rate hike ▶ 02:55 Said again while their call of 6 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 79.8k when said, 77.1k on 13 Sep 2026 (−3.4%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects down: I said my target for the Bitcoin bare market bottom is going to be between $58,000 and $47,000. This is what I said. ▶ 07:02 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 122k when said, 82.4k on 9 Oct 2026 (−32.5%).

If this, then that

• If CPI comes in much lower than 3.4%, or 3.3% or 3.2%, then no target given (next days, by today's CPI release): if really the CPA data is going to come in much lower than 3.4 4% or even 3.3 or 3.2% the odds of an interest rate hike or pass are going to again balance out here ▶ 02:15
• If CPI comes in hotter than expected, 3.5% or higher, then no target given (next days, by today's CPI release): if it were to basically come in any hotter than expected, so 3.5% or even higher, expect the market to crash very hardly towards the downside ▶ 02:29
• If Bitcoin breaks above the 50-week moving average, then no target given (this cycle): The moment Bitcoin breaks above the 50weekly moving average, we confirm the end of the Bitcoin bare market. ▶ 10:24

Levels named

• 85k: Resistance (big sell wall of about 700,000 BTC around this level): there's a big sell wall around uh 700,000 bitcoins around that $85,000 level, which is this top side level right here ▶ 04:22
• 72–73k: Support (almost no support laying in this zone): in terms of support between that $73,000 and $72,000 level, there's also almost no support laying on the lower side. ▶ 05:20
• 70k: Support (big support level near the fair value gap): I know there's a big level of support laying for Bitcoin around $70,000. ▶ 06:07
• 47–58k: Target (expected bear market bottom zone): I said my target for the Bitcoin bare market bottom is going to be between $58,000 and $47,000. This is what I said. ▶ 07:02

Their own position: Holding, with leverage; would buy at 70k. it is laying all the way down to about $70,000. In case Bitcoin comes towards these levels, I would be a big buyer in case Bitcoin sends it towards the upside right now here.

Dates named

• CPI report on 11 Sep 2026: And this CPI report will be the biggest of this year.
• FOMC meeting and rate decision on 16 Sep 2026: And with only 5 days to go here, we have actually never seen this before, like a few days out before the FMC meeting and still it can go both directions