Shocking 📉 Cycle Multipliers , “Heart Attack” Hedge 💥,Tesla→SpaceX

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months flipped up to down; cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: I believe there's a 60% chance we could hit the 200 day, which is around 70K, 71K, in the next 6 to 12 months. ▶ 10:48 The call was open until 11 Jan 2027, against 77.3k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): And there's a 10% chance we lose the 200 day and trend lower because I believe the next bull market has begun. ▶ 11:05 Said again while their call of 5 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.6k when said, 85.7k on 5 Oct 2026 (−30.1%).

If this, then that

• If If Bitcoin grinds to 130K into 2029, then 100k (this cycle): If we grind to 130K into 2029, we could easily get back under 100K, which was your initial question. ▶ 06:57
• If If Bitcoin hits 173K, then 100k (this cycle): If we hit 173K, it's a coin flip. 50/50 if we get under 100K again. ▶ 07:13
• If If Bitcoin hits 230K, then no target given (this cycle): And if we hit 230K, we will never see 100K again. ▶ 07:16

Levels named

• 173.4k: Target (diminishing multiplier pattern from the cycle bottom): If again just taking the pattern trend of the multiplier, nothing else, not money flows, not hardness, not having just the pattern, that would take us to 173,400. ▶ 04:44
• 70–71k: Support (200-day moving average could be revisited): I believe there's a 60% chance we could hit the 200 day, which is around 70K, 71K, in the next 6 to 12 months. ▶ 10:48

Their own position: Holding. If you have portfolios like mine, you have some Bitcoin for when the world fiat ends.