Bitcoin's Bounce Setup Held: +4% by October 3, 62% of the Time

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting up to leaning up; months flipped up to down.

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• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up: that's kind of like a good sort of area of interest to be looking for on this rally within the next few days. ▶ 03:46 Said again while their call of 23 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 84.5k when said, 83.6k on 30 Sep 2026 (−1.1%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: we have another thing suggesting that in early October, perhaps, we're probably looking at Bitcoin to get back around the current highs of this rally, maybe slightly new highs. ▶ 04:27 Said again while their call of 18 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 81.2k when said, 80.9k on 18 Oct 2026 (−0.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: I think near the end of this year either in October or near the end of this year We're probably gonna get a pretty violent nasty correction ▶ 09:33 Said again while their call of 30 Jun 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 58.4k when said, 80.6k on 28 Oct 2026 (+38.0%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Ultimately my opinion is that it's gonna put in a higher loan continue upwards and onwards later on ▶ 09:43 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin finishes this week above the red dots in upper band one (82,300 on CME), then 90k (next weeks, by next week): that would open up the door for an extremely likely test back up to the top side of that band, which is more or less 90,000 bucks. ▶ 15:57

Levels named

• 90k: Target (about 10% return within 30 days in historical sample): that would put Bitcoin back above 90,000 bucks, which would be, you know, I think in some ways a good thing. ▶ 05:10
• 87.5–88k: Target (about 5% up within 10 days per historical stats): It puts you at about 87,500 to 88,000 bucks. ▶ 04:24
• 86k: Target (average 5-day return after the 5 EMA reconnect setup): That put Bitcoin right around about 86,000 US dollars. ▶ 03:41
• 84.1k: Support (daily red 5 EMA that Bitcoin keeps reconnecting with): And that number is now 84,100, pretty much even actually on the dot. ▶ 03:01
• 81–81.5k: Support (area where a bounce is expected if Bitcoin steps down again): I'd be looking somewhere around like 81 to 81.5 region, probably a bounce there at the very minimum. ▶ 16:30
• 80k: Support (trending higher low on the six hour): that trending higher low now coming in around 80,000 bucks. ▶ 14:52

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. let's go ahead and put my money where my mouth is again and buy a hundred buckeroonies of the old coins here On coinbase.