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Bitcoin: Simulation Confirmed

Benjamin Cowen · · 22:48 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $60,1474-hour candle close · 1 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

Views

  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: So, I think, you know, Bitcoin is is trying to find a low sometime soon if it's not already in. And then it's going to try to work off of that low for a few weeks. ▶ 18:14 Said again while their call of 5 Jun 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 60.4k when said, 62.7k on 5 Jul 2026 (+3.8%).
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: even if we get one, we still likely will come back down in the back half of the year. ▶ 16:31 Said again while their call of 18 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 73.9k when said, 64.8k on 16 Jul 2026 (−12.4%).
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up: Let's see what happens in the back half of the midterm year and I think it's going to hopefully set us up for a bull market, a more durable bull market um hopefully in in 2027. ▶ 22:17 Said again while their call of 1 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 1 Feb 2027, against 78.9k when said.

Levels named

  • 30–60k: Target (Possible range for the eventual bottom; speaker says no one really knows): you could have a bottom at anywhere between 30 and 60K. ▶ 06:44
  • 57.7k: Support (New low on July 1 matches the 2018 low near 5,700 in the same seasonal window): on July 1st, right on July 1st today, Bitcoin put in a new low at 57,000 57.7K. ▶ 03:14

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

  • Typical stock market (S&P) correction in the back half of midterm years, undated: We then work off of that low for a few weeks and then we deal with the fact that the S&P corrects in the back half of the year and then that's where Bitcoin puts in the market cycle bottom.