cryptoBitcoin: Realist Vs. Doomer
Benjamin Cowen · · 33:36 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $70,7414-hour candle close · 13 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
No change since their last video.
Views
- Next months (next 2–6 months): Expects down:
I feel like there's plenty of evidence to suggest that Bitcoin will eventually go lower this year.
▶ 29:58 Said again while their call of 18 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 73.9k when said, 64.8k on 16 Jul 2026 (−12.4%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading):
Bitcoin entered into a bear market back then and is likely still in one even if we do go up a little bit more
▶ 02:02 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).
Levels named
- 54k: Target (major lows occurred after price went below the realized price):
the realized price for Bitcoin is around 54k, but the balance price is around 39k.
▶ 28:21 - 42k: Target (a 65% drop from the highs, in line with prior bear markets):
a 65% drop from the highs puts you around 42,000.
▶ 03:45 - 39k: Target (Bitcoin has always bottomed below the balance price):
the realized price for Bitcoin is around 54k, but the balance price is around 39k.
▶ 28:21 - 30–31k: Target (a 75% drop from the highs, in line with prior bear markets):
a 75% drop would put you at a at around 30 31,000 or so. So, 30 31K, something like that.
▶ 03:50
Their own position: Not said.