cryptoBitcoin: The Four Year Cycle Did Not Die
Benjamin Cowen · · 16:20 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $70,4324-hour candle close · 12 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: weeks flipped up to down; cycle went from leaning down to expecting down.
Views
- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down:
And then usually after that rally, it kind of stalls out for a while and then starts to go down as we get later into March and early into April.
▶ 05:34 The call was wrong: 70.4k when said, 73.7k on 11 Apr 2026 (+4.6%). - Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down:
usually the lower high forms, and then we go lower into April, May, and and and sort of going into the summer.
▶ 14:57 Said again while their call of 17 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 94.3k when said, 74.9k on 17 Mar 2026 (−20.6%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects down (timeframe is our reading):
I don't exactly know the answer to that question, but what I do think is that the bear market is still intact.
▶ 06:33 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).
Levels named
- 40k: Target (Bitcoin historically bottoms below the balance price, which is currently around 40K):
Like you can see right now it looks like it's around 40K. It changes, it's not going to stay the same, but the balance price historically is approximately where Bitcoin has bottomed.
▶ 08:36
Their own position: Not said.