How low will Bitcoin go?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved up to sideways; months moved sideways to down; cycle went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Sideways: My guess is there's a good chance it could hold until March, maybe even April. We could see a little countertrend move. ▶ 17:08 The call was right: 67.6k when said, 71.1k on 14 Mar 2026 (+5.2%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: ultimately, I I do think Bitcoin um will drop again going into April and May. ▶ 17:13 Said again while their call of 17 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 94.3k when said, 74.9k on 17 Mar 2026 (−20.6%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I would say there's pretty good odds that Bitcoin would drop below the realized price, which is currently at 55K. ▶ 07:18 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin goes below the balance price by May, then no target given (this cycle, by by May): If Bitcoin were to go there, let's say by May, then there's a chance that could actually be the bottom. ▶ 08:41

Levels named

• 55k: Target (Bitcoin historically drops below the realized price in bear markets and midterm years): I would say there's pretty good odds that Bitcoin would drop below the realized price, which is currently at 55K. ▶ 07:18
• 40k: Target (Bitcoin has bottomed when it went below the balance price in prior bear markets): which is currently at 55K. And the balance price is currently at 40K. ▶ 07:25

Their own position: Not said.