Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks flipped down to up; months moved down to sideways; cycle went from leaning down to expecting down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: So what I would say is there is a good chance we'll have a lower high in about a month. ▶ 13:08 Said again while their call of 14 Jan 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 94.8k when said, 67.2k on 13 Feb 2026 (−29.1%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways (timeframe is our reading): but as we get further out, like a after we kind of bounce around these levels for a while, I think there's going to be relatively low interest in crypto in the summer ▶ 14:33 Said again while their call of 29 Jan 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 87.8k when said, 73.5k on 29 May 2026 (−16.3%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): Are we likely still in a bare market? Probably, right? Like there's a really really high chance that Bitcoin will eventually go lower, ▶ 08:16 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).

If this, then that

• If S&P 500 falls back to its April low, then no target given (next months): if the S&P 500 were to ever go back down to this low, who knows, right? If it were, that would easily take Bitcoin back down to the low. ▶ 34:11
• If Bitcoin capitulates into May with a massive drop, then no target given (next months, by as early as May): if if Bitcoin just capitulates into May and gets like a massive drop, it's possible we could we could bottom as early as May. ▶ 26:29

Levels named

• 72–73k: Target (a 20% counter-trend rally, as after the 2019 50% drop, would take price near the April 2025 low): So a 20% rally would put us at just over 70k, right? Just over 70k. Like 72, 73k, something like basically, ▶ 18:12

Their own position: Not said.