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Ethereum: Dubious Speculation

Benjamin Cowen · · 16:45 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

ETH near publication: $3,5454-hour candle close · 11 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: cycle flipped down to up.

Views

  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up: I'm still open-minded to my base view being the right view where Ethereum gets one more rally to an all-time high. ▶ 09:04 Said again while their call of 12 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 3.75k when said, 2.54k on 12 Oct 2026 (−32.3%).

If this, then that

  • If Two weekly closes by Bitcoin below the 50-week moving average, then no target given (this cycle): this is where my luck runs out on two weekly closes by Bitcoin below the 50we moving average. Right at that point, I would let it go ▶ 08:45
  • If Ethereum gets back above its bull market support band and goes into another rally, then no target given (this cycle): if Ethereum does get back above its bull market support band and we go into another rally. Um, I will be absolutely thinking that that is the final rally of the cycle. ▶ 15:31

Levels named

  • 3k: Support (Bitcoin's 2017 drop from 4,900 found a low near 3K; ETH mimicking that would find support there): if we're mimicking that, then you would expect Ethereum to try to find support around that $3,000 mark. ▶ 13:16

Their own position: Not said.

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