cryptoPre-FOMC
Benjamin Cowen · · 31:19 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $112,5234-hour candle close · 29 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
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- This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading):
Bitcoin just tops out a few, you know, a couple months or so before quantitative tightening ends and you get you you you get like a a bare market in 2026
▶ 30:48 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).
If this, then that
- If The Fed stops quantitative tightening now, then no target given (this cycle):
If they stop QT now, then we might be further along than we think, right?
▶ 28:58 - If The Fed ends QT in early 2026, then no target given (this cycle):
So, if the Federal Reserve were to end QT in early 2026, then it could absolutely make sense that Bitcoin then tops out in Q4 of 2025
▶ 28:35
Their own position: Not said.
Dates named
- FOMC meeting and Fed balance sheet / QT decision on 29 Oct 2025:
Today we're going to talk about the upcoming FOMC meeting that's of course occurring on October 29th.