cryptoBitcoin Market Cycles
Benjamin Cowen · · 21:53 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $108,4874-hour candle close · 19 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $3,9794-hour candle close · 19 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: cycle moved waiting to down.
Views
- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Waiting on 100k (timeframe is our reading):
So if you get two weekly closes below that, so essentially below 100K, that might be your confirmation uh that the top would be in.
▶ 18:47 - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down:
I think it makes sense to expect that there will be a bare market in 2026
▶ 05:07 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).
If this, then that
- If two weekly closes below the 50-week moving average, essentially below 100K, would confirm the cycle top is in, then no target given (this cycle):
So if you get two weekly closes below that, so essentially below 100K, that might be your confirmation uh that the top would be in.
▶ 18:47
Levels named
- 281k: Target (terminal price top indicator, not close to being reached):
We haven't even gotten close to it, right? The terminal price is 281K.
▶ 09:16 - 102k: Support (50-week moving average; weekly closes below it have marked the end of prior cycles):
The 50we moving average is a moving target. Currently, it's sitting at almost $102,000.
▶ 18:39
Their own position: Not said.
On Ethereum
No change since their last video.
No view on any horizon.
Levels named
- 5k: Target (hoped-for Ethereum rally, no stated reason):
Obviously, I do have some Ethereum in the hopes that Ethereum can get another rally to 5K
▶ 18:22
Their own position: Holding. Obviously, I do have some Ethereum in the hopes that Ethereum can get another rally to 5K