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Benjamin Cowen · · 45:44 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $69,9534-hour candle close · 19 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
No change since their last video.
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- Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading):
I think going back to where we were around the time of the ETF launch makes sense, like in the 40 to 50 range. To me, that makes sense.
▶ 43:55 Said again while their call of 18 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 73.9k when said, 64.8k on 16 Jul 2026 (−12.4%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down:
I think the most likely time frame for a low is Q4 this year. More specifically, October of 2026. That's what I think.
▶ 42:02 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).
If this, then that
- If Bitcoin drops another 50% from here, then no target given (next months):
If we go if Bitcoin were to drop another 50% from here, it would be really hard to you know, to be overly bearish at that point
▶ 42:32
Levels named
- 40–50k: Target (price area around the time of the ETF launch):
I think going back to where we were around the time of the ETF launch makes sense, like in the 40 to 50 range. To me, that makes sense.
▶ 43:55 - 40k: Target (Bitcoin has historically bottomed below the balance price in mid-term years):
The balance price, historically, Bitcoin has always bottomed below the balance price in mid-term years and that's currently trading at around 40k.
▶ 44:04
Their own position: Not said.