Bitcoin, Gold, Stocks, Chess

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved sideways to up; cycle went from leaning down to expecting down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): One of the things that usually happens is that there's some type of a of a bounce can happen later February going into early March, ▶ 01:57 The call was right: 68.7k when said, 71.5k on 15 Mar 2026 (+4.1%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): but really, you know, a 50% drop from the highs has gotten us uh it's gotten us part of the way through the bear market. ▶ 01:42 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).

If this, then that

• If if Bitcoin is still holding these levels in a few months, then no target given (next months): So, if we're still holding these levels in a few months, like yeah, it's still possible you could you could see a countertrend rally. ▶ 04:26
• If monthly Heikin-Ashi candles turn green, especially later this year or early next year, then no target given (this cycle): once they turn green, especially if it's like later this year, early next year, there's a good chance it means that the bear market is in fact over. ▶ 33:39

Levels named

• 40–55k: Target (realized price and balanced price zone where Bitcoin often goes in bear markets): So, right now the realized price is 54, no, 50 around 55. The balanced price is 40. But you I mean you can see that like a lot of times it goes down there ▶ 1:37:27

Their own position: Not said.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down: ETH, you know, I still wonder about this whole ETH idea of it eventually going to this lower part of the regression band and then just spending more time in it this bear market, you know? ▶ 12:01 Said again while their call of 7 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 4.51k when said, 2.57k on 7 Oct 2026 (−43.0%).

Levels named

• 1.4k: Target (upper part of the Ethereum regression band, which is moving up): Like, the upper part of the band is already at like 1,400. ▶ 32:40

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• CPI inflation print on 13 Feb 2026: the odds of a rate cut went up very slightly on the cold inflation print, but not enough to be to be meaningful at this point.