cryptoBitcoin Cliff Dwellers
Benjamin Cowen · · 56:52 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $76,6984-hour candle close · 4 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $2,2834-hour candle close · 4 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: months went from leaning down to expecting down.
Views
- Next months (next 2–6 months): Expects down:
I think Bitcoin is going to go to the 200E moving average it's just a matter of what month does it go there does it go there in February March April May June July
▶ 24:07 Said again while their call of 17 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 94.3k when said, 74.9k on 17 Mar 2026 (−20.6%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading):
it's more likely that Bitcoin continues to show weakness until the stock market shows weakness and the stock market hasn't showed weakness yet.
▶ 20:27 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).
If this, then that
- If multiple weekly closes back above the 50-week moving average, then no target given (this cycle):
weekly closes, multiple weekly closes back above the 50we moving average. If we have that, then I might be forced to consider that view.
▶ 27:20
Levels named
- 74k: Support (a rally is plausible after going below the swept April 2025 low):
I even said before, you know, you could easily have a rally after going below 74K,
▶ 12:33
Their own position: Holding. I always keep like 20 to 30% even in the bare markets. Like, I'll keep that
On Ethereum
Changed since their last video: cycle moved down to sideways.
Views
- This cycle (next 6–18 months): Sideways:
maybe the price just slowly bleeds and stays in the regression, man, for the rest of the year. Always a chance that happens.
▶ 32:29 The call was open until 4 Feb 2027, against 2.28k when said.
Levels named
- 2–2.1k: Support (fair value per the regression band):
quote unquote fair value right now according to the regression band is between 2,000 and 2100.
▶ 32:42 - 1.4k: Support (lower part of the regression band, same price as April 2025):
The lower part of the band is around 1,400. Kind of the same price that it was in April 2025.
▶ 32:47
Their own position: Bought. technically altcoin I've even bought was Ethereum and I bought that in April of 2025