Bitcoin Headed To 125k Again - But It’s Different This Time

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): are the sort of activities that help mark a bottom or help mark the beginnings of an end to a bear market. ▶ 06:10 Said again while their call of 4 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122k when said, 85.4k on 4 Oct 2026 (−30.0%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin takes a pullback and drags the crypto market down with it, then 71k (next weeks): it happens, then absolutely the bottom end of the channel is very in play. That's around 71,000. ▶ 06:45
• If price breaks below the channel, like it broke below the last bear flag, then no target given (next weeks): And then if we break below, like we broke below the last bear flag, I think we have strong support in the 60s. ▶ 06:51

Levels named

• 78k: Support (short-term holder realized price is break-even for recent buyers and a bear market rally killer): Short-term holder realized price at 78k is break-even for recent buyers and a classic bear market rally killer. ▶ 05:35
• 71k: Support (bottom end of the channel): it happens, then absolutely the bottom end of the channel is very in play. That's around 71,000. ▶ 06:45

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Clarity Act Senate committee markup, undated: it is finally about to get marked up next week and come out of committee.