WARNING: Crypto in 2026 is About to Get Absurd..

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: These three things could cause Bitcoin to make a lower low in January or early February. that is possible. ▶ 04:38 Said again while their call of 15 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 86.1k when said, 97.3k on 14 Jan 2026 (+12.9%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up: I actually think Bitcoin makes a new all-time high in 2026 and the four-year cycle will be officially invalidated. ▶ 04:20 Said again while their call of 4 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122k when said, 85.4k on 4 Oct 2026 (−30.0%).

If this, then that

• If If all of the tailwinds line up and the bulls are right (easing cycle, Clarity Act, midterms), then 180k (this cycle, by this year): If all of those things line up, if the bulls are right, I think Bitcoin could go for 180K sometime this year. ▶ 06:05
• If If we don't get an easing cycle and the Clarity Act doesn't pass, then 130k (this cycle, by this year): And my bare case, if we don't get an easing cycle, if the Clarity Act doesn't pass, I think Bitcoin could still kind of grind to an all-time high of about 130 ▶ 06:18

Levels named

• 150k: Target (base case for 2026 with easing cycle and tailwinds): My base case is just Bitcoin hitting 150K this year, still an all-time high. ▶ 06:12
• 75k: Target (would be a 40% correction from last year's top): If we hit 75K, that would be a 40% correction from the uh top last year. ▶ 13:06

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Fed shakeup / Powell replacement, undated: Trump is going to replace Jerome Powell this year and it might happen sooner rather than later.
• Potential government shutdown on 31 Jan 2026: the government's only open again until I think January 31st in which they will have to basically talk about reopening the government again.
• Supreme Court tariff decision, undated: The Supreme Court will decide if Trump's tariffs are constitutional.
• Crypto market structure bill (Clarity Act) markup on 15 Jan 2026: And reminder, the Bitcoin crypto market structure bill markup is this Thursday, January 15th.