"The Bitcoin Collapse Has Started!" Do NOT Be Fooled!!

On Bitcoin

Guest Tom Crown · not counted as Altcoin Daily's view.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): we're probably looking for at least a relief rally here. I think that's the opium that most people are still waiting on. ▶ 06:36
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down: if we compare it to the past, we are likely looking at that bearish setup coming in at 2026. ▶ 05:54

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin moves to around 100,000, rejects from that level, and enters a bear market similar to 2022, then 50k (this cycle): Bitcoin moving to a 100,000ish, rejecting from that level, and entering something similar to 2022. uh I can see that price moving down anywhere from say like 50,000 ▶ 11:22

Levels named

• 160k: Target (bull case if Fed liquidity easing breaks the four-year cycle): in that case, I think Bitcoin reasonably is looking at 160, maybe even higher thousand. ▶ 10:45
• 100–106k: Target (relief rally / dead cat bounce as seen at the end of previous bull runs): basically looking for a bounce or a move. I would say somewhere from the 100,000 to the 106,000 area I think is a great place to be looking. ▶ 08:00
• 50k: Target (roughly a 60% drawdown, a mild bear market given diminishing cycle returns): yeah, like I said, like 50,000 I think is a great place to start. ▶ 13:15

Their own position: Holding. I'm I'm holding on to my spot in case it does.

Dates named

• Fed quantitative easing / liquidity-providing cycle starting in December, undated: quantitive easing, the Fed moving to a liquidity providing cycle which is starting right here now in December.