WARNING: Crypto Bear Market Confirmed? | This Is How To Know For Sure!

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months went from leaning down to expecting down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): So, from current price down, that is about another 8-ish percent. 8.6% and you're going to hit that level. ▶ 20:57
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): I don't think bulls are going to save this. We spoke about this. We said that you really are running out of time as a bull, ▶ 21:14
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I would say I lean more towards that it is than it isn't. But I'm not willing to click the 100% button because you can't be 100% sure yet, ▶ 34:19

If this, then that

• If Bulls reclaim 108,387, then no target given (next months): If bulls can get back above 108,387, you can start to get a bit more optimistic and say, ▶ 12:45
• If Bitcoin gets back above about $100,000 on the hourly for a trend shift, then no target given (next days): start to break back above these highs, which means you need Bitcoin to get back above about $100,000. ▶ 23:41
• If Bounce is met with a lower high, then price breaks below the bottom of the parallel channel, then no target given (next months): But that sizable bounce, if it's met with a lower high, is where the cooking really begins because then when you break below the bottom of that parallel channel, ▶ 47:55
• If Multiple weekly or two-weekly closes under $100,000, then no target given (this cycle): If we close like multiple candles under $100,000 on a weekly, two-weekly scale, that will be one sign. ▶ 34:31

Levels named

• 108.4k: Their view is wrong past this (lost key level; bearish until reclaimed): So, if you're holding cash like I am, you hold onto your cash until such time as you get invalidated on the bearish bias and reclaim that level: 108,387. ▶ 13:02
• 100k: Resistance (hourly highs that must be broken for a trend shift): start to break back above these highs, which means you need Bitcoin to get back above about $100,000. ▶ 23:41
• 93k: Support (yearly open may give interim support): Otherwise, I'll just continue to ride the trend all the way down to the yearly open, which is at about 93K. ▶ 23:45
• 88k: Support, expected to hold (fair value gap, monthly demand and bottom of the parallel channel line up here): I'll settle nerves very, very quickly and tell you that $88,000, that's going to be the level. That's going to be major support. ▶ 01:04

Their own position: No position; would buy at 88k. And I may even be willing to allocate spot back into the market at $88,000.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): But I still think that ETH can put in a decent move. We've seen before in price cycles, once Bitcoin had already topped, ETH went on to put in new All-Time Highs. ▶ 36:58

Levels named

• 3.1k: Support (mid-range of the weekly range): into mid-range support. You can see range high, range low, mid-range. $3,100. ▶ 31:14

Their own position: Sold. So, look, I'm glad I closed that ETH trade. I would be down quite a lot if I didn't.

Dates named

• Bear moon (moon-phase cycle) on 20 Nov 2025: which is coming on Thursday, the 20th of November, will be when you get the next bear moon.