CRITICAL: Is The WORST Over For This Crypto Crash? [The Truth]

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting up to leaning up; weeks moved waiting to up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I'm giving 60% chance that this is a local low that will at least bounce, and then if it bounces into a lower high, we will re-evaluate. ▶ 33:10
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects up: Don't come and call me an idiot in two weeks time. I'm telling you now, you are going to buy at a higher price. ▶ 22:41
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): This is a potential sign of distribution and could signal the end of the cycle. ▶ 09:32

If this, then that

• If Bulls close above $100,000 on the weekly close, then no target given (next weeks): all we need to see is bulls closing above $100,000, which means you probably want to see that as the wick low, which means that this weekly close is absolutely vitally, vitally, vitally important. ▶ 13:16
• If Closes under $100,000, making top in and a bear market more probable, then no target given (this cycle): If you do obviously come lower and you start to close under $100,000, the probabilities that bulls will take back control diminishes massively, ▶ 13:26
• If Close above $103,624 is a good sign, possibly sweeping downside liquidity before taking out the top side and making new all-time highs, then no target given (next weeks): I told you yesterday part of your trigger plan would also be that if you can start to see a close above $103,624, that may be a good sign. ▶ 19:36
• If No bounce this week or start of a recovery opens the possibility that the top is in, then no target given (this cycle, by this week): if we don't bounce out this week and start to make some sort of a recovery, you have to open up the possibility that the top is in, ▶ 08:39

Levels named

• 135–145k: Target (Realistic upside if price rallies out of here): I'm just saying that the risk-to-reward realistically is that Bitcoin goes to $135,000, $145,000 within that region. ▶ 14:16
• 116k: Resistance (Midline of the broadening wedge, a difficult area to recover): which is going to be of course a difficult area to recover. That's that $116K region. ▶ 18:49
• 104k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (Bearish order block on the daily, then sweep of the lows below $100,000): I'm saying run up here to around $104,000 at the most, reject from $104,000, come back down, sweep $100,000, fill some of this inefficiency ▶ 48:10
• 103.6k: Resistance (Part of the trigger plan: a close above it is a good sign): I told you yesterday part of your trigger plan would also be that if you can start to see a close above $103,624, that may be a good sign. ▶ 19:36
• 100k: Support (Key psychological level; weekly close above it keeps bulls in control): all we need to see is bulls closing above $100,000, which means you probably want to see that as the wick low, which means that this weekly close is absolutely vitally, vitally, vitally important. ▶ 13:16
• 88–90.3k: Support (Daily fair value gap midpoint, just below the yearly open; last line in the sand if things get ugly): So, the midpoint of that is $90,300. And of course, if you come to the low region, yes, it's about in that $88K zone. ▶ 30:16

Their own position: Holding. The MicroStrategy trade, down 17.3% on the grid trade. Bitcoin only down 4%. ETH down 25%.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

Levels named

• 4.1k: Resistance (Key level ETH needs to reclaim after deviating the range high and the symmetrical triangle): And I would say that the level to reclaim is going to be there: $4,100. $4,100, you need to see price get above there. ▶ 25:29

Their own position: Holding. The MicroStrategy trade, down 17.3% on the grid trade. Bitcoin only down 4%. ETH down 25%.

Dates named

• Expected end of US government shutdown (prediction markets ~mid-November) on 15 Nov 2025: There it is: 15th of November. This is again a very, very speculative theory, but maybe just maybe that's what you're going to be looking at.