🚨 Bitcoin Liquidity Lock — Is This the End or the Start of the Next Run?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months went from expecting up to leaning up; cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): we're in this current shutdown since 1st of October. It is the longest US government shutdown ever and we expect the market to rally. ▶ 05:24 Said again while their call of 11 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 111.2k when said, 71.4k on 8 Feb 2026 (−35.8%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): And for weeks now, I've been saying, yeah, still 30% chance there's a bare market. ▶ 06:56 Said again while their call of 5 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.6k when said, 85.7k on 5 Oct 2026 (−30.1%).

If this, then that

• If US government reopens after the shutdown, then no target given (next months): But when it does open, this is what typically happens. we get a bounce ▶ 05:00

Levels named

• 100k: Support (price has breached the 100k line several times but tends to bounce there as buyers stack): breach the 100k line a couple of times, about three or four times, but it does tend to bounce there ▶ 02:22
• 70k: Their view is wrong past this (a drop back to 70K would signal a bear market and void the bullish read): if we are in a bare market and we're heading back to 70K, all bets are off. ▶ 07:29

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• US government shutdown ends and liquidity returns, undated: we're in this current shutdown since 1st of October. It is the longest US government shutdown ever and we expect the market to rally.