Bitcoin Collapsed Over 50% | Is The Bottom In?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months flipped down to up; cycle flipped up to down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: at a minimum over the next few weeks there is definitely room for setup for Bitcoin to expand higher. ▶ 01:19 Said again while their call of 9 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 69.6k when said, 70.2k on 11 Mar 2026 (+1.0%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: A little short-term relief rally over the next few months where Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market as a whole could see some relief. ▶ 13:48 Said again while their call of 20 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 111k when said, 67.9k on 17 Feb 2026 (−38.9%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): There is not the kind of environment where Bitcoin is going to be able to rally up to 200, 300k. My personal opinion from what I'm seeing here. ▶ 10:14 Said again while their call of 10 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 119k when said, 83k on 10 Oct 2026 (−30.2%).

If this, then that

• If if we can reclaim that 21-day, then 80–85k (next weeks): So essentially, if we can reclaim that 21-day, I would say it's not far out of the question that we would come up in this kind of 80-85k range. ▶ 01:45

Levels named

• 80–85k: Target (reversion to the mean after reclaiming the 21-day average following a large sell-off away from it): So essentially, if we can reclaim that 21-day, I would say it's not far out of the question that we would come up in this kind of 80-85k range. ▶ 01:45

Their own position: Not said.