We Were THIS Close… Then This Happened

Lark Davis · 9 Apr 2026, 12:05 UTC · 15:02 · Watch on YouTube

As of 3 Nov 2026, 11:31 UTC. Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $71,1504-hour candle close · 9 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $2,1804-hour candle close · 9 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Anyway, uh, lower low is possible, rather unlikely. And if it does come, it's no reason to be scared. I would just be appreciative and buy some more. ▶ 05:34 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If Breakout above the top of the channel, then no target given (next days): If we get a breakout above top of the channel, that's a big move, but I think we come up here and probably get rejected again or at least consolidate ▶ 06:13
If Price breaks to the downside out of the channel, then 56k (next weeks): there is of course the very real possibility it breaks to the downside. If it does, we're going to $56,000, which would slightly blow the 200-week simple moving average ▶ 06:35

77k: Target (top of the channel, take profit target): Take profit target at $77,000 top of the channel currently. ▶ 06:10
70k: Their view is wrong past this (stop loss if price fails to hold above the 50-day EMA retest): Be nice to see it hold above that. If it doesn't, my stop loss is down here at $70,000. We'll reassess cuz ▶ 05:59
56k: Target (downside break of the channel would slightly blow the 200-week SMA): If it does, we're going to $56,000, which would slightly blow the 200-week simple moving average, by the way. ▶ 06:37

Their own position: Holding. Uh I've currently thrown in a Bitcoin long here. It's not doing very much right now. The entry price was $71,070,

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

If Daily close above the top of the channel around 2280-2300 is the go long signal, then 2.7–2.8k (next weeks): 2300 about, 2280 maybe daily close, and that's probably the go long signal. Gives you about a $500 implied price move, so approximate around $2800. You could be conservative and cut it at 200, $2700 around the 200-day EMA. ▶ 07:00

2k: Support (bottom of the channel; breakdown is the bearish signal): Watch for the breakdown of the channel on the bottom side around $2000. ▶ 07:19

Their own position: Not said.

J.D. Vance rumored meeting with Iranian side in Pakistan / Iran ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz talks on 11 Apr 2026: Hopefully, over the weekend, J.D. Vance rumored to be flying into Pakistan to meet with the Iranian side on Saturday.