The Crypto Crash Everyone Expects Won’t Happen
Lark Davis · · 17:35 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $68,5884-hour candle close · 16 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $1,9714-hour candle close · 16 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: days moved waiting to up.
Views
- Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects up (timeframe is our reading):
falling wedge breakout targeting on my trade as I mentioned 74K, which as you can see here is the 20-day EMA.
▶ 06:35 The call was wrong: 68.6k when said, 66k on 23 Feb 2026 (−3.8%).
Levels named
- 87k: Resistance (weekly downtrend line; price needs to get back above it):
line currently currently is right around let's say we're up there this week is right around $87,000.
▶ 09:24 - 74k: Target (trade target at the 20-day EMA after falling wedge breakout):
Uh, stop loss around 67. And the target for this trade is around 74, which is around the 20-day EMA.
▶ 03:38 - 68k: Support (wants a weekly close above the 200 week):
you want to see whatever happens this week, the weekly candle close above the 200 week is around $68,000 currently.
▶ 07:58 - 67k: Their view is wrong past this (stop loss on the long trade):
Uh, stop loss around 67. And the target for this trade is around 74, which is around the 20-day EMA.
▶ 03:38
Their own position: Holding. uh, currently long on Bitcoin. It's about a $200 unrealized loss. Currently, the entry you can see here is 69K.
On Ethereum
Changed since their last video: weeks flipped down to up.
Views
- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up:
So everything's there for potential relief rally to form up over the next, you know, few days to few weeks.
▶ 11:09 The call was right: 1.97k when said, 2.32k on 18 Mar 2026 (+17.6%).
Levels named
- 2.8–3k: Target (reasonable range for a major relief rally, a rough guess):
I would say targeting around sort of 2,800 to 3,000 is probably a reasonable range here for any kind of major relief rally coming in for ETH
▶ 11:19
Their own position: Not said.
Dates named
- Clarity Act, undated:
You just need the Clarity Act, baby. Get the Clarity Act. Coins go to moon.