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Bitcoin’s Most Dangerous Moment Is Here

Lark Davis · · 18:20 · Watch on YouTube

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BTC near publication: $96,6304-hour candle close · 15 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

On Bitcoin

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  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 100k (timeframe is our reading): The MACD bullcross plays out. We get a bullish breakout and we get a weekly close around $100,000. ▶ 06:14

If this, then that

  • If Price goes down under 90k in the next couple days, then no target given (next weeks, by in the next couple days): If the price goes down under like 90k in the next couple days, it's probably over for a while, ▶ 06:42
  • If Weekly MACD bullish crossover confirms around end of January and plays out on average timing, then 150k (next months, by late May, early June): Now, if that plays out, then we see a peak price for BTC late May, early June, something like that. 150K BTC around then ▶ 04:52

Levels named

  • 150k: Target (average time from weekly MACD bullish crossover to peak price): Now, if that plays out, then we see a peak price for BTC late May, early June, something like that. 150K BTC around then ▶ 04:52
  • 100k: Target (take profit on his Bitcoin long trade): So, again, the take profit on the Bitcoin trades $100,000. ▶ 08:33
  • 94–94.5k: Support (price settling back in this zone after breaking out of the orange resistance box): Price settling back in around here around the sort of 94 94,500 zone before pushing higher and trying to get over the 200 day ▶ 07:33
  • 90k: Their view is wrong past this (a drop under 90k in the next couple days would likely be bad for a while): If the price goes down under like 90k in the next couple days, it's probably over for a while, ▶ 06:42

Their own position: Holding; would buy at 94.5k. Bitcoin, I like I said, I added to that trade around 95 94,500 uh yesterday or the day before,