The Crypto Bull & Bear Case For The End Of 2025

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months went from expecting up to leaning up; cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: But I think that'll be the local top in December. And we'll have a big enough pullback to scare everybody to think that it's all over before we rage higher in 2026. ▶ 10:05 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 78.8k on 3 Feb 2026 (−36.1%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up: that the cycle has not topped. In fact, I believe it's far from topping. ▶ 00:28 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If this, then that

• If the four-year cycle pattern holds, then no target given (next months, by before the year ends): If that pattern holds, big if. If well, we might be setting up for one last explosive move before the year ends. ▶ 01:19

Levels named

• 160k: Target (worst case cycle top in Q4, local top in December): We started at 16K from the bare market bottom, goes to 160K in December, 10x for anybody that bought at the bottom. ▶ 09:56
• 150–160k: Target (four-year cycle theory top slightly above current price): or staring straight at it slightly above us around maybe 150 160K. ▶ 07:16

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Two more Fed rate cuts priced in by end of 2025, undated: The markets are already pricing in two more cuts by the end of the year.
• Last halving April 2024; cycle peaks historically 500-550 days later on 20 Apr 2024: Last having happened on April 20th, 2024. And historically cycle peaks tend to arrive 500 to 550 days after that.