cryptoWhy Crypto Is Failing In 2025
Lark Davis · · 49:17 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $87,2044-hour candle close · 24 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $2,9254-hour candle close · 24 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: cycle flipped down to up.
Views
- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
I can easily see that once we get past this big opex day, that kind of situation playing out.
▶ 12:07 Said again while their call of 8 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 91.6k when said, 92.9k on 7 Jan 2026 (+1.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count. - Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up:
So the upside bounce here is 150k over the next few months potentially in Q1 or early Q2 like April.
▶ 07:14 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 78.8k on 3 Feb 2026 (−36.1%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up:
I'm still bullish on Bitcoin and you know Ethereum and Salana and stuff long term.
▶ 31:31 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).
If this, then that
- If daily close at $89,000, breaking the downtrend line and the 20-day EMA, then no target given (next weeks):
let's say if we get a daily close at $89,000, not a [ __ ] wick, a daily close at $89,000, that breaks the downtrend line.
▶ 12:26 - If losing the key support line, then no target given (next months):
lose that line and it is goblin town, man.
▶ 07:31
Levels named
- 150k: Target (upside bounce target in Q1 or early Q2):
So the upside bounce here is 150k over the next few months potentially in Q1 or early Q2 like April.
▶ 07:14 - 102k: Resistance (350-day moving average, near the 50-week MA, called the danger zone):
it's likely to rally to the 350day moving average 102K in January.
▶ 07:56 - 89k: Resistance (a daily close above breaks the downtrend line and the 20-day EMA):
let's say if we get a daily close at $89,000, not a [ __ ] wick, a daily close at $89,000, that breaks the downtrend line.
▶ 12:26
Their own position: Holding. Anyway, Bitcoin long still open slightly in the red right now.
On Ethereum
No change since their last video.
Views
- This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up:
I'm still bullish on Bitcoin and you know Ethereum and Salana and stuff long term.
▶ 31:31 Said again while their call of 11 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 3.83k when said, 2.51k on 11 Oct 2026 (−34.6%).
Their own position: Not said.
Dates named
- $27 billion Bitcoin options expiry, seen as opening the door to a relief rally on 26 Dec 2025:
27 billion in options expire on December 26th. When we get past OPEX day on Friday, that's probably what opens the door for some kind of relief rally.