CRYPTO HUGE VOLATILITY ON BIG NEWS

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle moved down to waiting.

Views

• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Waiting on 100k (timeframe is our reading): market until proven otherwise. Like I said, we got to go over 100K, but there's a lot of catalysts that could easily bring us back up over that. ▶ 37:19

If this, then that

• If Price gets above the 20-day EMA and the downtrend line, then 96–97k (next weeks): get above those levels, things start looking a bit constructive, at least for a move back up to the top of the bare flag, which is around 96, $97,000 right now. ▶ 13:17
• If Price gets above $100,000 (50-week EMA), then no target given (next months): that's when things start get really interesting. That's when we start talking about a bare market and start talking about uh potential for real recovery into Q1, Q2. ▶ 14:04
• If Further descent into bear market madness / bear flag breaks down, then 60k (next months): if we have further descent into bare market madness, then 60K, the 200 week probably makes a relatively decent place to be watching out for. ▶ 37:05

Levels named

• 100k: Resistance (50-week EMA is the next critical level): which then brings us up to the next critical level, the 50we EMA, which is around $100,000. ▶ 13:50
• 96–97k: Resistance (top of the bear flag): get above those levels, things start looking a bit constructive, at least for a move back up to the top of the bare flag, which is around 96, $97,000 right now. ▶ 13:17
• 91k: Resistance (downtrend line since the all-time high is a rejection level): Shortterm. If you're going to get rejected, you're getting rejected here at 89,000 at the 20-day EMA or going to get rejected here at 91,000 at the downtrend line. ▶ 13:01
• 89k: Resistance (20-day EMA is a rejection level): Shortterm. If you're going to get rejected, you're getting rejected here at 89,000 at the 20-day EMA or going to get rejected here at 91,000 at the downtrend line. ▶ 13:01
• 60k: Support (200-week moving average and bear flag technical target): if we have further descent into bare market madness, then 60K, the 200 week probably makes a relatively decent place to be watching out for. ▶ 37:05

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Bank of Japan rate hike on 19 Dec 2025: Now, just before that announcement, Bitcoin went down to 84 $83,000, something like that. Bounced back pretty hard immediately after that.