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Bitcoin This Is Very Weird

Lark Davis · · 57:29 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $86,9834-hour candle close · 17 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $2,9294-hour candle close · 17 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks flipped down to up; cycle flipped down to up.

Views

  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): But again, my thought is that we will get that 50we EMA retest. Last bare market, it took about 10 weeks from the initial crash to get back up to the 50we ▶ 31:50 Said again while their call of 8 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 91.6k when said, 92.9k on 7 Jan 2026 (+1.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): See so many different indicators that are showing a bottom is near or likely near. ▶ 35:45 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If this, then that

  • If take out 100k and push above it with solid weekly candles and decent volume, then no target given (this cycle): Now obviously if we take out 100k and push above it and get some solid weekly candles decent volume and stuff say okay well maybe maybe we are really back ▶ 32:07

Levels named

  • 100k: Their view is wrong past this (getting back over $100,000 and above the top line of the bear flag invalidates it): And in order to invalidate it, you really have to get back over $100,000. ▶ 10:43
  • 75k: Target (possible further downside before a bottom): Now, maybe we can go down to 75K still. I wouldn't be shocked to see that. ▶ 35:49
  • 50k: Target (implied bear flag target is the 200 week, speculated as a speedrun down): We just smash straight down to the 200 week from here. straight down to like 50k, screaming the entire way ▶ 10:17

Their own position: Holding. But like the Bitcoin Salana, it's fine. That's fine. I don't mind. I'll hold that through the volatility. If it goes down, I'll buy more.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

If this, then that

  • If breakdown from the lower end of the range, then no target given (next days, by over the next few days): right at the lower end of the range here breakdown from here and things get very problematic very ▶ 12:35

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

  • Bank of Japan rate hike on 19 Dec 2025: but they are going to raise interest rates in two days probably. So, scaring the market a little bit, isn't it?