Bitcoin Is $74,000 Next?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks flipped up to down; cycle flipped up to down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): So, remember the breakout breakdown, let's say, target from this bear flag is mid-70s. Okay? So, be prepared for that eventuality. ▶ 10:05 The call was wrong: 87.3k when said, 96.6k on 15 Jan 2026 (+10.7%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): When we get a relief rally, which I still think we get the relief rally back up to around 100k or so, when we get that relief rally, it's a time of danger. ▶ 47:13 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 78.8k on 3 Feb 2026 (−36.1%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): Wow, we are in We are in a bear market right now. The charts are in a downtrend. Everything's in a downtrend. ▶ 32:24 The call was open until 16 Dec 2026, against 87.3k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin gets back over the 50-week, around 100k; until then bears are in charge, then no target given (next months): Like I said, until we get back over the 50 week, bears are in charge of the market. That's around 100k right now. ▶ 33:55

Levels named

• 100k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (50-week moving average expected to reject a relief rally): So that's around $100,000 right now. When we get a relief rally, which I still think we get the relief rally back up to around 100k or so, when we get that relief rally, it's a time of danger. ▶ 47:10
• 98–99k: Their view is wrong past this (top of the bear flag is only invalidated above 98-99k): you still have to worry about the top of the bull flag, which is only invalidated on a move about 98 99 thousand dollars, which basically then gets us running into the 50-week. ▶ 11:06
• 91–92k: Resistance (20-day EMA and the downtrend line, a potential point for rejection): a move back up to around 91 92 thousand dollars would get us back up to the 20-day and back up to retest this downtrend line, which would again be a potential point to watch out for a rejection. ▶ 10:42
• 80k: Their view is wrong past this (a break under 80k invalidates the inverse head and shoulders pattern): if we break, I think under $80,000, that will invalidate this pattern, especially with a weekly close like 75 or something like that. ▶ 06:31

Their own position: Sold. Uh my trades for both Ethereum and Solana stopped out for slight losses. Oh, the Ethereum Bitcoin and Solana both stopped out for slight losses overnight.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: weeks moved waiting to down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): 20-day EMA overhead around 3100 bucks. Bearish charts, right? We're also looking at a MACD bear cross, as you can see right here. ▶ 14:11 The call was wrong: 2.96k when said, 3.35k on 15 Jan 2026 (+13.3%).

Levels named

• 3.1k: Resistance (20-day EMA overhead that bulls need to reclaim): 20-day EMA overhead around 3100 bucks. Bearish charts, right? We're also looking at a MACD bear cross, as you can see right here. ▶ 14:11

Their own position: Sold. Uh my trades for both Ethereum and Solana stopped out for slight losses. Oh, the Ethereum Bitcoin and Solana both stopped out for slight losses overnight.

Dates named

• Fed reserve management bond buying, undated: Or is this all going to be short-lived, you know, two three month mini bear market, and then the macro takes over with the Fed buying back all these bonds and yada yada yada,