Bitcoin It Will All Be Obvious In Hindsight

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved up to waiting.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Waiting on 99k (timeframe is our reading): the 200 day, which is up here around $104,000, or at the very gosh darn least, the 50we EMA, it's around $99,000 right now. ▶ 07:48

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin gets back over the 50-week EMA, then no target given (next months): Once you get back over the 50WE, the chances of going straight back down to the 200 week become pretty slim. ▶ 17:07

Levels named

• 104k: Resistance (200-day moving average; bears keep the technical narrative until price is back above it): the 200 day, which is up here around $104,000, or at the very gosh darn least, the 50we EMA, it's around $99,000 right now. ▶ 07:48
• 99k: Resistance (50-week EMA; bears stay in charge until price reclaims it): the 200 day, which is up here around $104,000, or at the very gosh darn least, the 50we EMA, it's around $99,000 right now. ▶ 07:48
• 50k: Target (200-week moving average, the bearish downside target): Get your buy orders in at 50k if that's the case. ▶ 16:51

Their own position: Holding, no leverage. I did buy a little bit of uh Bitcoin and uh Salana last week, but just a little bit, you know, mostly just holding the spot positions right now.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): that would say to me that as long as we're kind of maintaining here around these EMAs that we do have upside potential brewing here. ▶ 11:46 Said again while their call of 11 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 3.54k when said, 3.2k on 11 Dec 2025 (−9.7%).

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• FOMC rate decision, rate cut expected on 10 Dec 2025: the most important Federal Reserve meeting of your lifetime since last month until next month is happening tomorrow.