Crypto Explodes - Are we back ?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved waiting to up; cycle moved up to waiting.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): we will climb the wall of worry up to 100K because it's a relief rally until proven otherwise. ▶ 32:31 Said again while their call of 7 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 102k when said, 89.4k on 7 Dec 2025 (−12.4%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: I think that the macro is very supportive of risk-taking moving into 2026 and therefore and with all the Vanguard news, all this stuff, there's reasons to maintain optimism in the markets. ▶ 34:26 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 78.8k on 3 Feb 2026 (−36.1%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Waiting on 100k (timeframe is our reading): until we retake the 50we EMA around $100,000, we are in bearish market territory. ▶ 32:23

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin retakes the 50-week EMA around 100k, then no target given (next months): Okay? A relief rally until proven otherwise. Take out 100k then we're off. ▶ 32:39
• If Bitcoin reaches the 50-week EMA and gets rejected (kiss of death) instead of breaking out, then no target given (this cycle): that is either going to be a breakout back above it or the kiss of death. That is the final chance to exit before the real bare market comes. ▶ 17:16

Levels named

• 100k: Resistance (50-week EMA is the line separating bearish territory from recovery): We are still under the 50Week EMA. It's at $100,000. ▶ 14:27
• 100k: Target (relief rally up to the 50-week EMA): we will climb the wall of worry up to 100K because it's a relief rally until proven otherwise. ▶ 32:31

Their own position: Holding. So, I'm still deployed in the market, right? For better or for worse.

Dates named

• Trump signals Kevin Hassett as next Fed chair, undated: So, President Trump just signaled that Kevin Hasset will be the next Fed chair.
• Vanguard and Bank of America open access to spot Bitcoin ETFs, undated: Okay. Two of the biggest institutions, Bank of America and Vanguard, recommending crypto to their clients.