cryptoDid The Bear Market Just Start?
Lark Davis · · 51:48 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $101,9934-hour candle close · 5 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $3,3314-hour candle close · 5 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
No change since their last video.
Views
- Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
at least a local bottom. Um, not saying the definitive bottom, at least a local bottom could be in effect.
▶ 31:59 The call was right: 102k when said, 103.1k on 12 Nov 2025 (+1.1%). - Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up:
I could easily see the markets pumping when the mark government reopens, when they start draining the TGA, injecting liquidity back into the system, that gives us a rally. It goes into like Q1
▶ 36:15 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 78.8k on 3 Feb 2026 (−36.1%).
If this, then that
- If Bitcoin gets back above $104,000 into the weekly close, above the 50-week moving average, then no target given (next days, by four days until the weekly close):
All bulls need to do is get us back above, let's say, $104,000. That would say, okay, we wicked down. It's fine. Weekly close came in above the 50we.
▶ 08:35
Levels named
- 150–160k: Target (possible Q1 rally after the government reopens and the TGA is drained; a place to consider taking profit):
And when Bitcoin's around 150, $160,000, probably not a bad place to consider taking some money off the table.
▶ 36:24 - 103k: Support (50-week moving average; weekly close above it is what bulls need):
We just need Bitcoin to end the weekly above $103,000. It's not so much to ask.
▶ 14:40
Their own position: Holding. So far, like I said, there's my thesis for why I put in a long, okay? If I get stopped out, sailor,
On Ethereum
Changed since their last video: days moved waiting to up.
Views
- Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
But if ever there was a halfway decent spot for um a bounce, it's in these levels.
▶ 20:51 The call was right: 3.33k when said, 3.43k on 12 Nov 2025 (+2.9%).
Their own position: Holding. Oh, my Ethereum long survived the night somehow.
Dates named
- US government shutdown ending / TGA drain on 11 Nov 2025:
Four to seven days, 53% chance we are open by the 11th according to prediction markets.
- Clarity Act introduced into Congress, undated:
We're getting the Clarity Act introduced into Congress at the end of the month.