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Crypto ... WTF?

Lark Davis · · 52:09 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $107,7874-hour candle close · 3 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $3,7124-hour candle close · 3 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): it's hard for me to look at it and go, "Oh yeah, this is the kind of situation where crypto is just magically going to enter into a bare market. ▶ 34:51 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

Levels named

  • 100k: Support (50-week EMA; a weekly close under it is problematic): Again, the 50we EMA is at about $100,000 right now. You put a weekly close under there, ▶ 42:47

Their own position: Holding. I'm rolling the dice, baby. I'm rolling the dice. Bitcoin long in from $107,100 here.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: on average it takes about 90 days to recover from a crash like that. ▶ 15:11 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 4.53k when said, 2.32k on 3 Feb 2026 (−48.8%).

If this, then that

  • If ETH loses support today, then no target given (next weeks): Once again, if we lose the turn today here on ETH, things probably get worse before they get better, ▶ 15:30

Levels named

  • 3.7k: Support (support retested about five times): Support's very well established here in this $3,700 range, but man, ▶ 14:54

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

  • End of QT on 1 Dec 2025: Obviously, they need NQT first, which is December 1st.
  • New Fed chief takes over, undated: New Fed chief coming in May, which I know sounds like a time that's just infinitely far away