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HUGE NEWS = HUGE VOLATILITY FOR BITCOIN & CRYPTO

Lark Davis · · 40:27 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $111,3674-hour candle close · 30 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $3,9404-hour candle close · 30 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up: so let's see if we can pick up a move in the market to the upside over the next couple days ▶ 15:46 Said again while their call of 27 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 115.6k when said, 107.5k on 3 Nov 2025 (−7.0%).
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: can we run from here until like mid January or something like that? Yeah, sure. Why not? Followed by a likely market correction after that. ▶ 35:11 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 78.8k on 3 Feb 2026 (−36.1%).
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): makes everybody think it's absolutely [ __ ] over for 6 to 10 months or something like that before you're up for the next big move at 250 ▶ 35:33 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If this, then that

  • If Bitcoin starts putting weekly closes under the 50-week EMA, then no target given (this cycle): let's say if Bitcoin starts putting weekly closes under the 50WE EMA, we're probably in big trouble. ▶ 36:07

Levels named

  • 250k: Target (next big move after a 6-10 month lull): for 6 to 10 months or something like that before you're up for the next big move at 250 ▶ 35:34
  • 150–160k: Target (expected run-up into mid-January): But then I think that'll be the move up to 150 160 KBTC followed by move back down to like 110 120 ▶ 35:26
  • 110–120k: Target (expected correction after the run-up): But then I think that'll be the move up to 150 160 KBTC followed by move back down to like 110 120 ▶ 35:26
  • 112k: Resistance (needs to get back above the 20-day EMA): Ideally, we need to get back above the 20-day EMA sooner than later. That's around $112,000 right now. ▶ 09:51
  • 108k: Support (200-day EMA, very critical level historically for Bitcoin): we have to defend the 200 day EMA. It's around $108,000. Very critical level historically for Bitcoin. ▶ 09:46

Their own position: Holding. Longed again after getting stopped out again this morning, probably going to get stopped out again for a slight loss.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

Levels named

  • 4k: Resistance (bulls need to reclaim the EMA or the move was a fake out): Bulls need to get us back on the 28-day EMA. It's around $4,000 right now. Critical level. ▶ 13:37

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

  • Fed cuts rates 25 bps on 29 Oct 2025: Federal Reserve cuts interest rates of 25 basis points as we all knew they were going to.
  • Fed ends quantitative tightening on 1 Dec 2025: Federal Reserve will also be ending quantitative typing on December 1st.