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Bitcoin & Crypto Are Struggling... [Here's What You NEED To Know]

Lark Davis · · 49:59 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $108,0864-hour candle close · 21 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $3,8934-hour candle close · 21 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I'm not in that camp. I know a lot of people are calling for the bear market. The macro conditions don't line up for it ▶ 26:19 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If this, then that

  • If Bitcoin loses the 50-week moving average near $100,000, then no target given (next weeks): We lose the 50 week and I think we are in the first some trouble in the short term, which means so ironic. ▶ 06:56

Levels named

  • 107–108k: Support (200-day EMA and an important level around 108K): Will support hold at 107, 108K? If it's ever going to hold anywhere, it's going to hold there. 200-day EMA, 108K's been an important level. ▶ 34:34
  • 100k: Support (50-week moving average is a major area of key price support): Weekly Bitcoin charts here sitting right at a major area of key price support. 50 week down here around $100,000. ▶ 06:40

Their own position: Bought. very small cheeky Bitcoin long opened up today. Pretty high risk, so not risking uh all the uh the capital on this trade here.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

If this, then that

  • If ETH loses the 200-day EMA at $3,500, then no target given (next weeks): 200-day EMA I think remains the key line at the 3,500 bucks. You lose that, that's when we start talking about being in a bit of trouble. ▶ 11:37

Levels named

  • 3.8k: Support (20-week EMA being defended): Keep price again above Well, it's 3,800 dollars above the 20-week EMA is 200-day EMA is down here around 3,500 dollars. ▶ 12:12
  • 3.5k: Support (200-day EMA is the key line): 200-day EMA I think remains the key line at the 3,500 bucks. ▶ 11:37
  • 3.3k: Support (50-week EMA is the last line in the sand): 50-week EMA around 3,300 dollars. That would kind of be the last line in the sand here for ETH without getting into too deep of trouble, okay? ▶ 12:20

Their own position: Holding. when the time comes to sell my ETH, I will part with that bag

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