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Bitcoin & Crypto Recovering (Here's The Danger)

Lark Davis · · 49:58 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $111,1704-hour candle close · 20 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $4,0554-hour candle close · 20 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

Views

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 115.5k: is the price getting above $115,500 because that would then kind of invalidate this uh move as a um a downtrend starting, right? ▶ 08:15
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up: I still think we go right up here to uh the top of this range before we finish up the cycle. ▶ 05:49 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If this, then that

  • If Bitcoin price gets above $115,500, invalidating the downtrend and potentially shifting back to the upside, then no target given (next weeks): is the price getting above $115,500 because that would then kind of invalidate this uh move as a um a downtrend starting, right? ▶ 08:15
  • If a massive blowoff top in the next three or four months leads to a 2026 bear market, then no target given (this cycle, by in the next three or four months): If we get a massive blowoff top in the next three or four months, then yeah, I can see a 2026 bare market forming up for sure. ▶ 40:08

Levels named

  • 115.5k: Resistance (line in the sand; getting above it invalidates the downtrend): is the price getting above $115,500 because that would then kind of invalidate this uh move as a um a downtrend starting, right? ▶ 08:15
  • 113k: Resistance (20-day EMA is the next target up, where price could stall): Now, next target up 20-day EMA, $113,000. ▶ 07:27
  • 108k: Support (200 day EMA and a critical historical price level; acceptance under it means trouble): we need to continue to defend the 200 day EMA. It's at $108,000 right now, which is also a critical historical price level for support. ▶ 07:10

Their own position: No position. Now I got stopped out of my Bitcoin trade on Friday. It was just a small trade, small stop loss.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 4.1k (timeframe is our reading): The breakout momentum comes when ETH gets over the 20-day EMA. So, over $4,100 for a daily close. ▶ 13:38

If this, then that

  • If ETH gets over the 20-day EMA with a daily close above $4,100, possibly starting a new uptrend, then no target given (next weeks): So, over $4,100 for a daily close. Then, we might be looking at a new uptrend starting here on Ethereum after all this ▶ 13:41

Levels named

  • 4.1k: Resistance (20-day EMA overhead; a daily close above it signals breakout momentum): The breakout momentum comes when ETH gets over the 20-day EMA. So, over $4,100 for a daily close. ▶ 13:38
  • 3.8k: Support (holding it would confirm momentum is heading in the right direction despite the weekly MACD bearish crossover): So, you really want to see this $3,800 level continuing to hold as price support to confirm that momentum is heading in the right direction ▶ 14:16

Their own position: Not said.