cryptoCrypto's Max Pain Scenario Is Up!
Lark Davis · · 45:41 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $115,4004-hour candle close · 13 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $4,1784-hour candle close · 13 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
No change since their last video.
Views
- Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 115.7k (timeframe is our reading):
We're now at the 50-day EMA here. $115,700. Okay, that's what we need to take out.
▶ 06:09 - Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up:
if we have resolution to the China tariff stuff, which it seems that everyone's walked everything back, then yes, I am bullish for the, uh, remainder of October here.
▶ 16:17 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 102k on 5 Nov 2025 (−17.3%).
If this, then that
- If Bitcoin fails to take out the 50-day EMA at $115,700, producing a bearish underside retest of the key EMAs, then no target given (next days):
We're now at the 50-day EMA here. $115,700. Okay, that's what we need to take out. Otherwise, you run into this problem where this selloff
▶ 06:09
Levels named
- 120k: Target (take profit on the speaker's open Bitcoin trade):
Take profit on this trade at $120,000.
▶ 07:20 - 115.7k: Resistance (50-day EMA acting as the next resistance after the rally from the lows):
if you're going to try to long Bitcoin here, you're longing directly into resistance at the 50-day EMA at $115,700.
▶ 06:41
Their own position: Holding; would buy at 111.7k. Here we go. Bitcoin trade opened from $111,700.
On Ethereum
No change since their last video.
Views
- Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 4.25k (timeframe is our reading):
watch for a break here at 4250. Okay, you get a daily candle close over 4250. That could be the spark that starts a new major move here for ETH.
▶ 16:51 - Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up:
if we have resolution to the China tariff stuff, which it seems that everyone's walked everything back, then yes, I am bullish for the, uh, remainder of October here.
▶ 16:17 Said again while their call of 11 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 3.83k when said, 3.58k on 10 Nov 2025 (−6.4%).
If this, then that
- If ETH gets a daily candle close over 4250, breaking the 50-day EMA, which could start a new major move, then no target given (next weeks):
watch for a break here at 4250. Okay, you get a daily candle close over 4250. That could be the spark that starts a new major move here for ETH.
▶ 16:51
Levels named
- 4.25k: Resistance (50-day EMA is the target to break out on):
watch for a break here at 4250. Okay, you get a daily candle close over 4250.
▶ 16:51 - 4k: Support (a weekly close over $4,000 would be encouraging):
Encouraging weekly close over $4,000. Let's put it that way.
▶ 19:18
Their own position: Holding. Um I didn't long ETH. I already have big ETH long open.