This is NOT what I wanted to see on Bitcoin (here's why)
Alessio Rastani · · 04:50 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $86,4954-hour candle close · 25 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: weeks flipped up to down; cycle moved waiting to down.
Views
- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading):
given the fact that it's broken support at the moment the probabilities are increasing that Bitcoin could potentially now move to new lows
▶ 03:07 The call was right: 86.5k when said, 64.4k on 24 Feb 2026 (−25.5%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading):
so it appears at the moment that a repeat of 2022 and 2018. In other words, a potential bearish picture or bare market picture is at the moment gaining probability
▶ 04:01 The call was open until 25 Jan 2027, against 86.5k when said.
If this, then that
- If Bitcoin breaks below 84K, then 80k (next weeks):
especially if Bitcoin now breaks below 84K that would increase the probability significantly for a move to new lows and potentially below the 80K level and to the 70s
▶ 03:14
Levels named
- 100k: Resistance (bulls needed a rally above the 21 weekly MA and 100K to show the bottom was in):
it should have ideally rallied above the 21weekly moving average and ideally above 100K
▶ 02:38 - 89k: Support, expected to break (recent support level that has been broken):
For example, it's dropped below 89K and it's also broken below 87K.
▶ 01:25 - 87k: Support, expected to break (recent support level that has been broken):
For example, it's dropped below 89K and it's also broken below 87K.
▶ 01:25 - 84k: Support (a break below would raise the probability of new lows):
Now, let me say that if Bitcoin also breaks below 84K or just near that level, that would significantly increase the probability that Bitcoin could drop to new lows.
▶ 02:04
Their own position: Not said.