cryptoBitcoin Reaches CRITICAL Levels... Here's what this means
Alessio Rastani · · 15:57 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $94,5864-hour candle close · 16 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: cycle moved up to waiting.
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- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up:
And by the way, I think that's going to happen in the next several weeks. I think likely as we enter 2026, perhaps in the beginning of 2026, we may very well see some kind of a strong bounce or rally towards the weekly 21 EMA
▶ 02:02 The call was wrong: 94.6k when said, 69.1k on 15 Feb 2026 (−26.9%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Waiting on 100k (timeframe is our reading):
the moment of truth is whether Bitcoin is going to be able to successfully break through that 100k resistance and move back into a bull, in other words,
▶ 14:35
If this, then that
- If Bitcoin breaks through the 100k resistance and moves back into a bull market, then no target given (this cycle):
the moment of truth is whether Bitcoin is going to be able to successfully break through that 100k resistance and move back into a bull, in other words,
▶ 14:35 - If Bitcoin fails from this resistance level and falls into a bear market, then no target given (this cycle):
whether it's going to fail from this level and then fall into a bare market, in other words, um, a downtrend.
▶ 14:49 - If Price breaks below the January or December lows, then no target given (this cycle):
if we break below the January lows or December lows, that would very likely confirm uh the bearish case.
▶ 08:09
Levels named
- 100k: Resistance (major psychological resistance; break or failure decides bull versus bear market):
the moment of truth is whether Bitcoin is going to be able to successfully break through that 100k resistance and move back into a bull, in other words,
▶ 14:35 - 98–99k: Target (possible test of the 21 weekly moving average):
I actually think we could come a bit higher and test the 21 weekly that approximate 98 to 99k region there.
▶ 03:29 - 98.2k: Resistance (38.2% retracement from the all-time high, merging with the 21 weekly average):
the 38.2% Fibonacci level is at 98,200, which I believe we came very close to.
▶ 03:14 - 96–98k: Resistance (weekly 21 EMA is the resistance where a bounce would either fail or succeed):
There's potential here for Bitcoin again to test this 21 weekly moving average here, which is approximately moving into the region between 98 to 96K.
▶ 02:19
Their own position: Not said.